Just a quick thought: Now that Bush has been re-elected, how more likely is it that Fahrenheit 9/11 will win an Oscar for Best Picture? Think about it for a second. Who votes for the Oscars? A left-leaning Hollywood... The Sean Penn's and Susan Surrandon's. Of course, Gov. Terminator gets a vote too, so who really knows if Hollywood's biggest prize could turn into one big protest vote? Just total speculation from me, but the theory is sound. Right now the field is said to be pretty wide open, with F/911 and Mel Gibson's "Passion" leading the field.
If you though Michael Moore's last Oscar acceptance speech left a bad taste, imagine his next one... especially if it was for Best Picture and not just Best Documentary.
Just a little morsel of thought to chew on.